Bet on anything.
Against anyone.
You write the bet. AI checks it can be settled. Escrow holds the funds. Once the terms of the bet have been reached the depositor who bet correctly gets paid.
“If the Knicks beat the Heat on Nov 12, I win.”
- 1
Write the terms
Set the bet in USDC, the deadline, any odds and what decides the bet, in plain language. The terms must be clear. AI checks the outcome can ultimately be verified.
- 2
Fund escrow
Once the bet passes that check, the terms are locked and escrow opens. Each side deposits USDC under the agreed terms.
- 3
Settle
At the agreed date, or when a depositor claims the win, AI verifies the result against the terms in the PolyBet smart contract and determines if the bet is ready to be settled. If so, the PolyBet escrow automatically pays the winning depositor.
PolyBets on X
Propose a bet in any post. Tag @PolyBet and the terms appear in the replies.
- Propose
Post your bet, or reply to someone's take with a challenge.
- Tag @PolyBet
PolyBet replies with clear terms, a deadline, and the data source.
- Fund & settle
Each side funds escrow from the reply. The winner is paid.
- OpusPilled@OpusPilled · 2m
Anthropic IPOs above 1.5 Trillion for sure no brainer.
0xlink8@0xlink8 · 1mI bet you 50k it doesn't.
OpusPilled@OpusPilled · 1mIn @PolyBet set it up for $50,000 USDC
PolyBet@PolyBet · 1mReplying to @OpusPilled and @0xlink8
@OpusPilled challenges @0xlink8 to a $50,000 @PolyBet that Anthropic will IPO at a value greater than $1.5 trillion.
$50,000 USDC PolyBet on if Anthropic IPO is >1.5T
Escrow openTerms locked once funded:
- ›Anthropic closes above $1.5 trillion on its IPO day.
- Priya@priya_builds · 14m
ETH is going above $3k before next year. Who wants to do a $10,000 PolyBet?!
Leo@leo_onchain · 1mI'm in against. @PolyBet set it up.
PolyBet@PolyBet · 1mReplying to @priya_builds and @leo_onchain
$10,000 USDC PolyBet on if ETH closes above $3,000 by Dec 31
Escrow openTerms locked once funded:
- ›ETH daily close above $3,000
- ›Resolution source is the Coinbase ETH-USD price feed; ETH must go over $3k by end of year
How PolyBet works
- 1
You Write the Terms of the Bet
You set the bet amount and define what determines the outcome. Terms must be clear, unambiguous, and verifiable using a data source you accept.
- 2
Checked before money moves
AI tests whether the outcome can actually be verified. If it can't, escrow doesn't open and nothing is deposited.
- 3
Payout follows the terms
Funds stay in escrow until the agreed date, or until a depositor who believes they've won claims the payout, which calls AI to verify the bet against the terms.
Create a bet
@MAGAmark, @web3dev believes the Democrats will win the House and the Senate and challenges you to a bet.
Do you want to bet the Democrats don't win the House and the Senate?
Bet $42.86 USDC that Democrats won't win the House and the Senate to win $100.00 USDC.
@web3dev bets $100.00 USDC that the Democrats will win the House and the Senate.
- Deposit
- $100.00
- To win
- $42.86
- Net after fee
- +$38.57
Your position
- Deposit
- $42.86
- To win
- $100.00
- Net after fee
- +$95.71
Both sides deposit USDC into the PolyBet smart contract escrow. AI verifies the result against the agreed source, then the contract pays the winner the escrow balance minus the 3% fee.
Do you bet $42.86 that Democrats won't win the House and Senate?
Your total payout if Democrats don't win both the House and Senate
$138.57 USDC
Includes your $42.86 deposit back, plus $95.71 profit after the 3% fee.
Bet $42.86 USDC
Bets resolve when the terms are met
Bets only settle when they are resolvable, and never before.
Claims checked by AI
PolyBet checks which depositor won the bet when someone claims their winnings.
Funds in. One winner out.
- Fund
- Lock
- Settle
3%PolyBet escrow feeFlat fee to facilitate the bet and pay out the winner.
The PolyBet escrow contract automatically executes payouts according to the agreed-upon terms once the bet is resolved.